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Sample Questions Posted Below
Chapter 05
A Survey of Probability Concepts
True / False Questions
1. The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of conditional probability.
True False
2. The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of mutually exclusive events.
True False
3. An individual can assign a subjective probability to an event based on the individual’s knowledge about the event.
True False
4. To apply the special rule of addition, the events must be mutually exclusive.
True False
5. A joint probability measures the likelihood that two or more events will happen concurrently.
True False
6. The joint probability of two independent events, A and B, is computed as: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B).
True False
7. The joint probability of two events, A and B, that are not independent is computed as: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B|A).
True False
8. A coin is tossed four times. The joint probability that all four tosses will result in a head is ¼ or 0.25.
True False
9. If there are ‘m’ ways of doing one thing and ‘n’ ways of doing another thing, the multiplication formula states that there are (m) · (n) ways of doing both.
True False
10. A combination of a set of objects is defined by the order of the objects.
True False
11. The complement rule states that the probability of an event not occurring is equal to one minus the probability of its occurrence.
True False
12. If two events are mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) = P(A) P(B).
True False
13. An illustration of an experiment is turning the ignition key of an automobile as it comes off the assembly line to determine whether or not the engine will start.
True False
14. Bayes’ theorem is a method to revise the probability of an event given additional information.
True False
15. Bayes’ theorem is used to calculate a subjective probability.
True False
Multiple Choice Questions
16. The National Center for Health Statistics reported that of every 883 deaths in recent years, 24 resulted from an automobile accident, 182 from cancer and 333 from heart disease. What is the probability that a particular death is due to an automobile accident?
A. 24/883 or 0.027
B. 539/883 or 0.610
C. 24/333 or 0.072
D. 182/883 or 0.206
17. If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, what does the special rule of addition state?
A. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
B. P(A and B) = P(A) + P(B)
C. P(A and/or B) = P(A) + P(B)
D. P(A or B) = P(A) – P(B)
18. What does the complement rule state?
A. P(A) = P(A) – P(B)
B. P(A) = 1 – P(not A)
C. P(A) = P(A) · P(B)
D. P(A) = P(A)X + P(B)
19. Which approach to probability is exemplified by the following formula?
Probability of an Event =
A. Classical approach
B. Empirical approach
C. Subjective approach
D. None of the above
20. A study of 200 computer service firms revealed these incomes after taxes:
What is the probability that a particular firm selected has $1 million or more in income after taxes?
A. 0.00
B. 0.25
C. 0.49
D. 0.51
21. A firm offers routine physical examinations as part of a health service program for its employees. The exams showed that 8% of the employees needed corrective shoes, 15% needed major dental work and 3% needed both corrective shoes and major dental work. What is the probability that an employee selected at random will need either corrective shoes or major dental work?
A. 0.20
B. 0.25
C. 0.50
D. 1.00
22. A survey of top executives revealed that 35% of them regularly read Time magazine, 20% read Newsweek and 40% read U.S. News & World Report. Ten percent read both Time and U.S. News & World Report. What is the probability that a particular top executive reads either Time or U.S. News & World Report regularly?
A. 0.85
B. 0.06
C. 1.00
D. 0.65
23. A study by the National Park Service revealed that 50% of the vacationers going to the Rocky Mountain region visit Yellowstone Park, 40% visit the Grand Tetons and 35% visit both. What is the probability that a vacationer will visit at least one of these magnificent attractions?
A. 0.95
B. 0.35
C. 0.55
D. 0.05
24. A tire manufacturer advertises, “the median life of our new all-season radial tire is 50,000 miles. An immediate adjustment will be made on any tire that does not last 50,000 miles.” You purchased four of these tires. What is the probability that all four tires will wear out before traveling 50,000 miles?
A. 1/10 or 0.10
B. ¼ or 0.25
C. 1/64 or 0.0156
D. 1/16 or 0.0625
25. A sales representative calls on four hospitals in Westchester County. It is immaterial what order he calls on them. How many ways can he organize his calls?
A. 4
B. 24
C. 120
D. 37
26. There are 10 rolls of film in a box and 3 are defective. Two rolls are selected without replacement. What is the probability of selecting a defective roll followed by another defective roll?
A. ½ or 0.50
B. ¼ or 0.25
C. 1/120 or about 0.0083
D. 1/15 or about 0.07
27. Giorgio offers the person who purchases an 8 ounce bottle of Allure two free gifts, either an umbrella, a 1 ounce bottle of Midnight, a feminine shaving kit, a raincoat or a pair of rain boots. If you purchased Allure what is the probability you randomly selected an umbrella and a shaving kit in that order?
A. 0.00
B. 1.00
C. 0.05
D. 0.20
28. A board of directors consists of eight men and four women. A four-member search committee is randomly chosen to recommend a new company president. What is the probability that all four members of the search committee will be women?
A. 1/120 or 0.00083
B. 1/16 or 0.0625
C. ⅛ or 0.125
D. 1/495 or 0.002
29. A lamp manufacturer has developed five lamp bases and four lampshades that could be used together. How many different arrangements of base and shade can be offered?
A. 5
B. 10
C. 15
D. 20
30. A gumball machine has just been filled with 50 black, 150 white, 100 red and 100 yellow gum balls that have been thoroughly mixed. Sue and Jim, each, purchased one gumball. What is the likelihood both Sue and Jim get red gumballs?
A. 0.50
B. 0.062
C. 0.33
D. 0.75
31. What does equal?
A. 640
B. 36
C. 10
D. 120
32. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did NOT attend college?
A. 0.20
B. 0.08
C. 0.25
D. 0.80
33. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did attend college?
A. 0.20
B. 0.08
C. 0.25
D. 0.72
34. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a male who did NOT attend college?
A. 0.044
B. 0.440
C. 0.256
D. 0.801
35. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a male who did NOT attend college?
A. P (male) P (did not attend college | male)
B. P (did not attend college) P (male | did not attend college)
C. P (male) P (did not attend college)
D. P (did not attend college)
36. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did attend college?
A. P (female) P(did not attend college | female)
B. P (did attend college) P (female | did not attend college)
C. P (female) P(did attend college | female)
D. P (did attend college)
37. Three defective electric toothbrushes were accidentally shipped to a drugstore by the manufacturer along with 17 non-defective ones. What is the probability that the first two electric toothbrushes sold will be returned to the drugstore because they are defective?
A. 3/20 or 0.15
B. 3/17 or 0.176
C. ¼ or 0.25
D. 3/190 or 0.01579
38. An electronics firm sells four models of stereo receivers, three CD decks, and six speaker brands. When the four types of components are sold together, they form a “system.” How many different systems can the electronics firm offer?
A. 36
B. 18
C. 72
D. 144
39. The numbers 0 through 9 are used in code groups of four to identify an item of clothing. Code 1083 might identify a blue blouse, size medium. The code group 2031 might identify a pair of pants, size 18, and so on. Repetitions of numbers are not permitted, i.e., the same number cannot be used more than once in a total sequence. As examples, 2256, 2562 or 5559 would not be permitted. How many different code groups can be designed?
A. 5,040
B. 620
C. 10,200
D. 120
40. How many permutations of the two letters C and D are possible?
A. 1
B. 0
C. 2
D. 8
41. You have the assignment of designing color codes for different parts. Three colors are used on each part, but a combination of three colors used for one part cannot be rearranged and used to identify a different part. This means that if green, yellow and violet were used to identify a camshaft, yellow, violet and green (or any other combination of these three colors) could not be used to identify a pinion gear. If there are 35 combinations, how many colors were available?
A. 5
B. 7
C. 9
D. 11
42. A builder has agreed NOT to build all “look alike” homes in a new subdivision. The builder has three different interior plans that can be combined with any of the five different home exteriors. How many different homes can be built?
A. 8
B. 10
C. 15
D. 30
43. Six basic colors are used in decorating a new condominium. They are applied to a unit in groups of four colors. One unit might have gold as the principal color, blue as a complementary color, red as the accent color and touches of white. Another unit might have blue as the principal color, white as the complimentary color, gold as the accent color and touches of red. If repetitions are permitted, how many different units can be decorated?
A. 7,825
B. 25
C. 125
D. 1,296
44. The ABCD football association is considering a Super Ten Football Conference. The top 10 football teams in the country, based on past records, would be members of the Super Ten Conference. Each team would play every other team in the conference during the season and the team winning the most games would be declared the national champion. How many games would the conference commissioner have to schedule each year? (Remember, Oklahoma versus Michigan is the same as Michigan versus Oklahoma.)
A. 45
B. 50
C. 125
D. 14
45. A rug manufacturer has decided to use 7 compatible colors in her rugs. However, in weaving a rug, only 5 spindles can be used. In advertising, the rug manufacturer wants to indicate the number of different color groupings for sale. How many color groupings using the seven colors taken five at a time are there? (This assumes that 5 different colors will go into each rug, i.e., there are no repetitions of color.)
A. 120
B. 2,520
C. 6,740
D. 36
46. The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck was a king. If it is returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?
A. 1/4 or 0.25
B. 1/13 or 0.077
C. 12/13 or 0.923
D. 1/3 or 0.33
47. The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck was a king. If it is NOT returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?
A. 1/3 or 0.33
B. 1/51 or 0.0196
C. 3/51 or 0.0588
D. 1/13 or 0.077
48. Which approach to probability assumes that the events are equally likely?
A. Classical
B. Empirical
C. Subjective
D. Mutually exclusive
49. An experiment may have:
A. Only one outcome
B. Only two outcomes
C. Two or more outcomes
D. Several events
50. When are two events mutually exclusive?
A. They overlap on a Venn diagram
B. If one event occurs, then the other cannot
C. Probability of one affects the probability of the other
D. Both a and b
51. Probabilities are important information when
A. using inferential statistics.
B. applying descriptive statistics.
C. predicting a future outcome.
D. A and C
52. The result of a particular experiment is called a(n)
A. observation.
B. conditional probability.
C. event.
D. outcome.
53. The probability of two or more events occurring concurrently is called a(n)
A. conditional probability.
B. empirical probability.
C. joint probability.
D. tree diagram.
54. The probability of an event that is affected by two or more different events is called a(n)
A. conditional probability.
B. empirical probability.
C. joint probability.
D. tree diagram.
55. A graphical method used to calculate joint and conditional probabilities is
A. a tree diagram.
B. a Venn diagram.
C. a histogram.
D. inferential statistics.
56. When an experiment is conducted “without replacement,”
A. events are dependent
B. events are equally likely
C. the experiment can be illustrated with a Venn Diagram
D. the probability of two or more events is computed as a joint probability
57. If two events are independent, then their joint probability is computed with
A. the special rule of addition
B. the special rule of multiplication
C. the general rule of multiplication
D. Bayes’ theorem
58. When applying the special rule of addition for mutually exclusive events, the joint probability is:
A. 1
B. .5
C. 0
D. unknown
59. In a finance class, the final grade is based on three tests. Historically, the instructor tells the class that the joint probability of scoring “A”‘s on the first two tests is 0.5. A student assigns a probability of 0.9 that she will get an “A” on the first test. What is the probability that the student will score an “A” on the second test given that she scored an “A” on the first test?
A. 0.50
B. 0.95
C. 0.55
D. 0.90
60. When an event’s probability depends on the likelihood of another event, the probability is a(n)
A. conditional probability.
B. empirical probability.
C. joint probability.
D. mutually exclusive probability.
61. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is classified as a maintenance employee?
A. 0.20
B. 0.50
C. 0.025
D. 1.00
62. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is either in maintenance or in secretarial?
A. 0.200
B. 0.015
C. 0.059
D. 0.001
63. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is either in management or in supervision?
A. 0.00
B. 0.06
C. 0.15
D. 0.21
64. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is a supervisor and in management?
A. 0.00
B. 0.06
C. 0.15
D. 0.21
65. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random has above average sales ability and is an excellent potential for advancement?
A. 0.20
B. 0.50
C. 0.27
D. 0.75
66. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have average sales ability and good potential for advancement?
A. 0.09
B. 0.12
C. 0.30
D. 0.525
67. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have below average sales ability and fair potential for advancement?
A. 0.032
B. 0.10
C. 0.16
D. 0.32
68. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have an excellent potential for advancement given they also have above average sales ability?
A. 0.27
B. 0.60
C. 0.404
D. 0.45
69. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have an excellent potential for advancement given they also have average sales ability?
A. 0.27
B. 0.30
C. 0.404
D. 0.45
70. A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed that:
What is the probability that a designer does not prefer red?
A. 1.00
B. 0.77
C. 0.73
D. 0.23
71. A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed that:
What is the probability that a designer does not prefer yellow?
A. 0.000
B. 0.765
C. 0.885
D. 1.000
72. A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed that:
What is the probability that a designer does not prefer blue?
A. 1.0000
B. 0.9075
C. 0.8850
D. 0.7725
73. An automatic machine inserts mixed vegetables into a plastic bag. Past experience revealed that some packages were underweight and some were overweight, but most of them had satisfactory weight.
What is the probability of selecting three packages that are overweight?
A. 0.0000156
B. 0.0004218
C. 0.0000001
D. 0.075
74. An automatic machine inserts mixed vegetables into a plastic bag. Past experience revealed that some packages were underweight and some were overweight, but most of them had satisfactory weight.
What is the probability of selecting three packages that are satisfactory?
A. 0.900
B. 0.810
C. 0.729
D. 0.075
75. Using the terminology of Bayes’ Theorem, a posterior probability can also be defined as:
A. a conditional probability
B. a joint probability
C. 1
D. 0
76. The process used to calculate the probability of an event given additional information has been obtained through
A. Bayes’ theorem.
B. classical probability.
C. permutation.
D. subjective probability
Fill in the Blank Questions
77. Complete the following analogy: an experiment relates to outcome, as the role of a die relates to _____.
________________________________________
78. If a set of events are collectively exhaustive and mutually exclusive, what does the sum of the probabilities equal? ___
________________________________________
79. When the special rule of multiplication is used, the events must be _______________.
________________________________________
80. When the special rule of addition is used, the events must be _______________.
________________________________________
81. The probability of selecting a professor who is male and has a master’s degree is called _______________.
________________________________________
82. To summarize the frequencies of two nominal or ordinal variables and compute conditional probabilities, what table can be used? _______________
________________________________________
83. What theorem applies additional information to revise probabilities? _______________
________________________________________
84. The joint probability of two dependent events, P (A and B), is computed as _______________.
________________________________________
85. What is the probability that a flipped coin will show heads on four consecutive flips? _______________
________________________________________
86. What type of diagram is useful when applying Bayes’ Theorem? _______________
________________________________________
87. In a probability problem with joint probabilities, the sum of all the joint probabilities must equal _______________.
________________________________________
88. Suppose four heads appeared face up on four tosses of a coin. What is the probability that a head will appear face up in the next toss of the coin? _____
________________________________________
89. What approach to probability is based on a person’s belief, opinion or judgment? _______
________________________________________
90. If there are five vacant parking places and five automobiles arrive at the same time, in how many different ways they can park? _____
________________________________________
91. A collection of one or more possible outcomes of an experiment is called an ___________.
________________________________________
92. A new computer game has been developed and 80 veteran game players will test its market potential. If sixty players liked the game, what is the probability that any veteran game player will like the new computer game? _______
________________________________________
93. One card will be randomly selected from a standard 52-card deck of cards. What is the probability that it will be the jack of hearts? _____
________________________________________
94. The number of times an event occurred in the past is divided by the total number of occurrences. What is this approach to probability called? ____________________
________________________________________
95. What is the probability that a one-spot, two-spot, or six-spot will appear face up on the throw of one die? ______
________________________________________
96. What is a measured or observed activity called? _________________
________________________________________
97. What is a particular result of an experiment called? __________
________________________________________
98. What is a collection of one or more basic outcomes called? __________
________________________________________
99. To apply the special rule of addition, what must be true about the events? __________
________________________________________
100. What are two events called when the occurrence of one event does not affect the occurrence of the other event? __________________
________________________________________
101. What is it called when the order of a set of objects selected from a single group is important? _________
________________________________________
Short Answer Questions
102. A cell phone salesperson has kept records on the customers who visited the store. 40% of the customers who visited the store were female. Furthermore, the data show that 35% of the females who visited his store purchased a cell phone, while 20% of the males who visited his store purchased a cell phone. Let represent the event that a customer is a female, represent the event that a customer is a male, and B represent the event that a customer will purchase a phone.
What is the probability that a female customer will purchase a cell phone? ______________
103. A cell phone salesperson has kept records on the customers who visited the store. 40% of the customers who visited the store were female. Furthermore, the data show that 35% of the females who visited his store purchased a cell phone, while 20% of the males who visited his store purchased a cell phone. Let represent the event that a customer is a female, represent the event that a customer is a male, and B represent the event that a customer will purchase a phone.
What is the probability that a male customer will purchase a cell phone? ______________
104. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that a person would select orange as their favorite color?
105. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that a person would select orange or lime as their favorite color?
106. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone was their favorite. The results follow:
What is an outcome of this experiment?
107. A company’s managers evaluated their employees into three classes: excellent performance, good performance, and poor performance. The following is a frequency distribution of the results.
What is the probability that a randomly selected employee was rated excellent or good?
108. In flipping a fair coin, what is the probability of either a head or a tail on one toss?
109. In flipping a fair coin, what is the probability of a head and a tail on one toss?
110. In flipping a fair coin, what is the probability of a head and a tail on two tosses?
111. Airlines monitor the causes of flights arriving late. 75% of flights are late because of weather, 35% of flights are late because of ground operations. 10% of flights are late because of weather and ground operations. What is the joint probability that a flight arrives late because of weather and ground operations?
112. Airlines monitor the causes of flights arriving late. 75% of flights are late because of weather, 35% of flights are late because of ground operations. 15% of flights are late because of weather and ground operations. What is the probability that a flight arrives late because of weather or ground operations?
113. In a survey of employee satisfaction, 60% of the employees are male and 45% of the employees are satisfied. What is the probability of randomly selecting an employee who is male and satisfied?
114. In a card deck of 52 cards, what is the probability of selecting two kings from the deck without replacement?
115. In a survey of employee satisfaction, the following table summarizes the results in terms of employee satisfaction and gender.
What is the probability that an employee is Female and Dissatisfied?
116. In a survey of employee satisfaction, the following table summarizes the results in terms of employee satisfaction and gender.
What is the probability that an employee is Male or Dissatisfied?
117. In a survey of employee satisfaction, the following table summarizes the results in terms of employee satisfaction and gender.
What is the probability that an employee is Satisfied given that the employee is Male?
118. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability of randomly selecting a person who likes white cell phones the best?
119. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black or orange are the favorite colors?
120. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that orange is the favorite color given that the person’s age is less than 21?
121. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black is the favorite color given that the person’s age is 21 or older?
122. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black is the favorite color given that the person’s age is 21 or older?
123. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black, lime or orange are the favorite colors given that the person’s age is 21 or older?
124. Dice are used in a variety of games. A die is a six sided cube with a number of dots on each side. The number of dots ranges from one to six. If two die are used on a game, how many outcomes are possible?
125. In a study of student preference of energy drinks, the researcher has identified a population of 10 students. To get a quick result, the researcher will select a sample of 2 students. How many different samples are possible?
126. A student organization of 10 wants to select a president, a vice-president, and treasurer. How many different leadership assignments are possible?
Essay Questions
127. Draw a Venn diagram showing the probability for two mutually exclusive events and a Venn diagram showing the probability for two events that are not mutually exclusive. Explain the difference in the two diagrams.
128. Compare and contrast the classical, empirical, and subjective approaches to assigning probabilities.
129. What is the difference between a permutation and a combination?
130. When are two outcomes independent? Explain in terms of the rules of probability.
Chapter 05 A Survey of Probability Concepts Answer Key
True / False Questions
1. The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of conditional probability.
FALSE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
2. The probability of rolling a 3 or 2 on a single die is an example of mutually exclusive events.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
3. An individual can assign a subjective probability to an event based on the individual’s knowledge about the event.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
4. To apply the special rule of addition, the events must be mutually exclusive.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
5. A joint probability measures the likelihood that two or more events will happen concurrently.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
6. The joint probability of two independent events, A and B, is computed as: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B).
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
7. The joint probability of two events, A and B, that are not independent is computed as: P(A and B) = P(A) P(B|A).
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
8. A coin is tossed four times. The joint probability that all four tosses will result in a head is ¼ or 0.25.
FALSE
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
9. If there are ‘m’ ways of doing one thing and ‘n’ ways of doing another thing, the multiplication formula states that there are (m) · (n) ways of doing both.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
10. A combination of a set of objects is defined by the order of the objects.
FALSE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
11. The complement rule states that the probability of an event not occurring is equal to one minus the probability of its occurrence.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
12. If two events are mutually exclusive, then P(A or B) = P(A) P(B).
FALSE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
13. An illustration of an experiment is turning the ignition key of an automobile as it comes off the assembly line to determine whether or not the engine will start.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
14. Bayes’ theorem is a method to revise the probability of an event given additional information.
TRUE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
15. Bayes’ theorem is used to calculate a subjective probability.
FALSE
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
Multiple Choice Questions
16. The National Center for Health Statistics reported that of every 883 deaths in recent years, 24 resulted from an automobile accident, 182 from cancer and 333 from heart disease. What is the probability that a particular death is due to an automobile accident?
A. 24/883 or 0.027
B. 539/883 or 0.610
C. 24/333 or 0.072
D. 182/883 or 0.206
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
17. If two events A and B are mutually exclusive, what does the special rule of addition state?
A. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
B. P(A and B) = P(A) + P(B)
C. P(A and/or B) = P(A) + P(B)
D. P(A or B) = P(A) – P(B)
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
18. What does the complement rule state?
A. P(A) = P(A) – P(B)
B. P(A) = 1 – P(not A)
C. P(A) = P(A) · P(B)
D. P(A) = P(A)X + P(B)
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
19. Which approach to probability is exemplified by the following formula?
Probability of an Event =
A. Classical approach
B. Empirical approach
C. Subjective approach
D. None of the above
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
20. A study of 200 computer service firms revealed these incomes after taxes:
What is the probability that a particular firm selected has $1 million or more in income after taxes?
A. 0.00
B. 0.25
C. 0.49
D. 0.51
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
21. A firm offers routine physical examinations as part of a health service program for its employees. The exams showed that 8% of the employees needed corrective shoes, 15% needed major dental work and 3% needed both corrective shoes and major dental work. What is the probability that an employee selected at random will need either corrective shoes or major dental work?
A. 0.20
B. 0.25
C. 0.50
D. 1.00
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
22. A survey of top executives revealed that 35% of them regularly read Time magazine, 20% read Newsweek and 40% read U.S. News & World Report. Ten percent read both Time and U.S. News & World Report. What is the probability that a particular top executive reads either Time or U.S. News & World Report regularly?
A. 0.85
B. 0.06
C. 1.00
D. 0.65
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
23. A study by the National Park Service revealed that 50% of the vacationers going to the Rocky Mountain region visit Yellowstone Park, 40% visit the Grand Tetons and 35% visit both. What is the probability that a vacationer will visit at least one of these magnificent attractions?
A. 0.95
B. 0.35
C. 0.55
D. 0.05
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
24. A tire manufacturer advertises, “the median life of our new all-season radial tire is 50,000 miles. An immediate adjustment will be made on any tire that does not last 50,000 miles.” You purchased four of these tires. What is the probability that all four tires will wear out before traveling 50,000 miles?
A. 1/10 or 0.10
B. ¼ or 0.25
C. 1/64 or 0.0156
D. 1/16 or 0.0625
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
25. A sales representative calls on four hospitals in Westchester County. It is immaterial what order he calls on them. How many ways can he organize his calls?
A. 4
B. 24
C. 120
D. 37
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
26. There are 10 rolls of film in a box and 3 are defective. Two rolls are selected without replacement. What is the probability of selecting a defective roll followed by another defective roll?
A. ½ or 0.50
B. ¼ or 0.25
C. 1/120 or about 0.0083
D. 1/15 or about 0.07
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
27. Giorgio offers the person who purchases an 8 ounce bottle of Allure two free gifts, either an umbrella, a 1 ounce bottle of Midnight, a feminine shaving kit, a raincoat or a pair of rain boots. If you purchased Allure what is the probability you randomly selected an umbrella and a shaving kit in that order?
A. 0.00
B. 1.00
C. 0.05
D. 0.20
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
28. A board of directors consists of eight men and four women. A four-member search committee is randomly chosen to recommend a new company president. What is the probability that all four members of the search committee will be women?
A. 1/120 or 0.00083
B. 1/16 or 0.0625
C. ⅛ or 0.125
D. 1/495 or 0.002
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
29. A lamp manufacturer has developed five lamp bases and four lampshades that could be used together. How many different arrangements of base and shade can be offered?
A. 5
B. 10
C. 15
D. 20
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
30. A gumball machine has just been filled with 50 black, 150 white, 100 red and 100 yellow gum balls that have been thoroughly mixed. Sue and Jim, each, purchased one gumball. What is the likelihood both Sue and Jim get red gumballs?
A. 0.50
B. 0.062
C. 0.33
D. 0.75
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
31. What does equal?
A. 640
B. 36
C. 10
D. 120
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
32. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did NOT attend college?
A. 0.20
B. 0.08
C. 0.25
D. 0.80
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
33. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did attend college?
A. 0.20
B. 0.08
C. 0.25
D. 0.72
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
34. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a male who did NOT attend college?
A. 0.044
B. 0.440
C. 0.256
D. 0.801
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
35. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a male who did NOT attend college?
A. P (male) P (did not attend college | male)
B. P (did not attend college) P (male | did not attend college)
C. P (male) P (did not attend college)
D. P (did not attend college)
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
36. In a management trainee program, 80 percent of the trainees are female, 20 percent male. Ninety percent of the females attended college, 78 percent of the males attended college. A management trainee is selected at random. What is the probability that the person selected is a female who did attend college?
A. P (female) P(did not attend college | female)
B. P (did attend college) P (female | did not attend college)
C. P (female) P(did attend college | female)
D. P (did attend college)
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
37. Three defective electric toothbrushes were accidentally shipped to a drugstore by the manufacturer along with 17 non-defective ones. What is the probability that the first two electric toothbrushes sold will be returned to the drugstore because they are defective?
A. 3/20 or 0.15
B. 3/17 or 0.176
C. ¼ or 0.25
D. 3/190 or 0.01579
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
38. An electronics firm sells four models of stereo receivers, three CD decks, and six speaker brands. When the four types of components are sold together, they form a “system.” How many different systems can the electronics firm offer?
A. 36
B. 18
C. 72
D. 144
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
39. The numbers 0 through 9 are used in code groups of four to identify an item of clothing. Code 1083 might identify a blue blouse, size medium. The code group 2031 might identify a pair of pants, size 18, and so on. Repetitions of numbers are not permitted, i.e., the same number cannot be used more than once in a total sequence. As examples, 2256, 2562 or 5559 would not be permitted. How many different code groups can be designed?
A. 5,040
B. 620
C. 10,200
D. 120
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
40. How many permutations of the two letters C and D are possible?
A. 1
B. 0
C. 2
D. 8
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
41. You have the assignment of designing color codes for different parts. Three colors are used on each part, but a combination of three colors used for one part cannot be rearranged and used to identify a different part. This means that if green, yellow and violet were used to identify a camshaft, yellow, violet and green (or any other combination of these three colors) could not be used to identify a pinion gear. If there are 35 combinations, how many colors were available?
A. 5
B. 7
C. 9
D. 11
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
42. A builder has agreed NOT to build all “look alike” homes in a new subdivision. The builder has three different interior plans that can be combined with any of the five different home exteriors. How many different homes can be built?
A. 8
B. 10
C. 15
D. 30
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
43. Six basic colors are used in decorating a new condominium. They are applied to a unit in groups of four colors. One unit might have gold as the principal color, blue as a complementary color, red as the accent color and touches of white. Another unit might have blue as the principal color, white as the complimentary color, gold as the accent color and touches of red. If repetitions are permitted, how many different units can be decorated?
A. 7,825
B. 25
C. 125
D. 1,296
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
44. The ABCD football association is considering a Super Ten Football Conference. The top 10 football teams in the country, based on past records, would be members of the Super Ten Conference. Each team would play every other team in the conference during the season and the team winning the most games would be declared the national champion. How many games would the conference commissioner have to schedule each year? (Remember, Oklahoma versus Michigan is the same as Michigan versus Oklahoma.)
A. 45
B. 50
C. 125
D. 14
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
45. A rug manufacturer has decided to use 7 compatible colors in her rugs. However, in weaving a rug, only 5 spindles can be used. In advertising, the rug manufacturer wants to indicate the number of different color groupings for sale. How many color groupings using the seven colors taken five at a time are there? (This assumes that 5 different colors will go into each rug, i.e., there are no repetitions of color.)
A. 120
B. 2,520
C. 6,740
D. 36
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
46. The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck was a king. If it is returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?
A. 1/4 or 0.25
B. 1/13 or 0.077
C. 12/13 or 0.923
D. 1/3 or 0.33
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
47. The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck was a king. If it is NOT returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?
A. 1/3 or 0.33
B. 1/51 or 0.0196
C. 3/51 or 0.0588
D. 1/13 or 0.077
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
48. Which approach to probability assumes that the events are equally likely?
A. Classical
B. Empirical
C. Subjective
D. Mutually exclusive
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
49. An experiment may have:
A. Only one outcome
B. Only two outcomes
C. Two or more outcomes
D. Several events
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
50. When are two events mutually exclusive?
A. They overlap on a Venn diagram
B. If one event occurs, then the other cannot
C. Probability of one affects the probability of the other
D. Both a and b
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
51. Probabilities are important information when
A. using inferential statistics.
B. applying descriptive statistics.
C. predicting a future outcome.
D. A and C
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
52. The result of a particular experiment is called a(n)
A. observation.
B. conditional probability.
C. event.
D. outcome.
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
53. The probability of two or more events occurring concurrently is called a(n)
A. conditional probability.
B. empirical probability.
C. joint probability.
D. tree diagram.
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
54. The probability of an event that is affected by two or more different events is called a(n)
A. conditional probability.
B. empirical probability.
C. joint probability.
D. tree diagram.
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
55. A graphical method used to calculate joint and conditional probabilities is
A. a tree diagram.
B. a Venn diagram.
C. a histogram.
D. inferential statistics.
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
56. When an experiment is conducted “without replacement,”
A. events are dependent
B. events are equally likely
C. the experiment can be illustrated with a Venn Diagram
D. the probability of two or more events is computed as a joint probability
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
57. If two events are independent, then their joint probability is computed with
A. the special rule of addition
B. the special rule of multiplication
C. the general rule of multiplication
D. Bayes’ theorem
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
58. When applying the special rule of addition for mutually exclusive events, the joint probability is:
A. 1
B. .5
C. 0
D. unknown
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
59. In a finance class, the final grade is based on three tests. Historically, the instructor tells the class that the joint probability of scoring “A”‘s on the first two tests is 0.5. A student assigns a probability of 0.9 that she will get an “A” on the first test. What is the probability that the student will score an “A” on the second test given that she scored an “A” on the first test?
A. 0.50
B. 0.95
C. 0.55
D. 0.90
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
60. When an event’s probability depends on the likelihood of another event, the probability is a(n)
A. conditional probability.
B. empirical probability.
C. joint probability.
D. mutually exclusive probability.
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
61. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is classified as a maintenance employee?
A. 0.20
B. 0.50
C. 0.025
D. 1.00
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
62. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is either in maintenance or in secretarial?
A. 0.200
B. 0.015
C. 0.059
D. 0.001
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
63. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is either in management or in supervision?
A. 0.00
B. 0.06
C. 0.15
D. 0.21
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
64. A group of employees of Unique Services will be surveyed about a new pension plan. In-depth interviews with each employee selected in the sample will be conducted. The employees are classified as follows.
What is the probability that the first person selected is a supervisor and in management?
A. 0.00
B. 0.06
C. 0.15
D. 0.21
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
65. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random has above average sales ability and is an excellent potential for advancement?
A. 0.20
B. 0.50
C. 0.27
D. 0.75
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
66. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have average sales ability and good potential for advancement?
A. 0.09
B. 0.12
C. 0.30
D. 0.525
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
67. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have below average sales ability and fair potential for advancement?
A. 0.032
B. 0.10
C. 0.16
D. 0.32
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
68. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have an excellent potential for advancement given they also have above average sales ability?
A. 0.27
B. 0.60
C. 0.404
D. 0.45
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
69. Each salesperson in a large department store chain is rated on their sales ability and their potential for advancement. The data for the 500 sampled salespeople are summarized in the following table.
What is the probability that a salesperson selected at random will have an excellent potential for advancement given they also have average sales ability?
A. 0.27
B. 0.30
C. 0.404
D. 0.45
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
70. A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed that:
What is the probability that a designer does not prefer red?
A. 1.00
B. 0.77
C. 0.73
D. 0.23
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
71. A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed that:
What is the probability that a designer does not prefer yellow?
A. 0.000
B. 0.765
C. 0.885
D. 1.000
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
72. A study of interior designers’ opinions with respect to the most desirable primary color for executive offices showed that:
What is the probability that a designer does not prefer blue?
A. 1.0000
B. 0.9075
C. 0.8850
D. 0.7725
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
73. An automatic machine inserts mixed vegetables into a plastic bag. Past experience revealed that some packages were underweight and some were overweight, but most of them had satisfactory weight.
What is the probability of selecting three packages that are overweight?
A. 0.0000156
B. 0.0004218
C. 0.0000001
D. 0.075
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
74. An automatic machine inserts mixed vegetables into a plastic bag. Past experience revealed that some packages were underweight and some were overweight, but most of them had satisfactory weight.
What is the probability of selecting three packages that are satisfactory?
A. 0.900
B. 0.810
C. 0.729
D. 0.075
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
75. Using the terminology of Bayes’ Theorem, a posterior probability can also be defined as:
A. a conditional probability
B. a joint probability
C. 1
D. 0
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
76. The process used to calculate the probability of an event given additional information has been obtained through
A. Bayes’ theorem.
B. classical probability.
C. permutation.
D. subjective probability
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
Fill in the Blank Questions
77. Complete the following analogy: an experiment relates to outcome, as the role of a die relates to _____.
any one value between 1 and 6
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
78. If a set of events are collectively exhaustive and mutually exclusive, what does the sum of the probabilities equal? ___
1
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
79. When the special rule of multiplication is used, the events must be _______________.
independent
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
80. When the special rule of addition is used, the events must be _______________.
mutually exclusive
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
81. The probability of selecting a professor who is male and has a master’s degree is called _______________.
Joint probability
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
82. To summarize the frequencies of two nominal or ordinal variables and compute conditional probabilities, what table can be used? _______________
Contingency table
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
83. What theorem applies additional information to revise probabilities? _______________
Bayes’ Theorem
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
84. The joint probability of two dependent events, P (A and B), is computed as _______________.
P(A and B) = P(A) P(B|A)
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
85. What is the probability that a flipped coin will show heads on four consecutive flips? _______________
0.0625
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
86. What type of diagram is useful when applying Bayes’ Theorem? _______________
A tree diagram
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
87. In a probability problem with joint probabilities, the sum of all the joint probabilities must equal _______________.
1 or one
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
88. Suppose four heads appeared face up on four tosses of a coin. What is the probability that a head will appear face up in the next toss of the coin? _____
1/2 or 0.5
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
89. What approach to probability is based on a person’s belief, opinion or judgment? _______
Subjective
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
90. If there are five vacant parking places and five automobiles arrive at the same time, in how many different ways they can park? _____
120
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
91. A collection of one or more possible outcomes of an experiment is called an ___________.
event
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
92. A new computer game has been developed and 80 veteran game players will test its market potential. If sixty players liked the game, what is the probability that any veteran game player will like the new computer game? _______
3/4 or 0.75
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
93. One card will be randomly selected from a standard 52-card deck of cards. What is the probability that it will be the jack of hearts? _____
1/52 or 0.0192
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
94. The number of times an event occurred in the past is divided by the total number of occurrences. What is this approach to probability called? ____________________
Empirical
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
95. What is the probability that a one-spot, two-spot, or six-spot will appear face up on the throw of one die? ______
1/2 or 0.5
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
96. What is a measured or observed activity called? _________________
Experiment
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
97. What is a particular result of an experiment called? __________
Outcome
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
98. What is a collection of one or more basic outcomes called? __________
Event
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
99. To apply the special rule of addition, what must be true about the events? __________
Mutually exclusive
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
100. What are two events called when the occurrence of one event does not affect the occurrence of the other event? __________________
Independent
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
101. What is it called when the order of a set of objects selected from a single group is important? _________
Permutation
AACSB: Communication Abilities
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
Short Answer Questions
102. A cell phone salesperson has kept records on the customers who visited the store. 40% of the customers who visited the store were female. Furthermore, the data show that 35% of the females who visited his store purchased a cell phone, while 20% of the males who visited his store purchased a cell phone. Let represent the event that a customer is a female, represent the event that a customer is a male, and B represent the event that a customer will purchase a phone.
What is the probability that a female customer will purchase a cell phone? ______________
P(B|A1) = .35
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
103. A cell phone salesperson has kept records on the customers who visited the store. 40% of the customers who visited the store were female. Furthermore, the data show that 35% of the females who visited his store purchased a cell phone, while 20% of the males who visited his store purchased a cell phone. Let represent the event that a customer is a female, represent the event that a customer is a male, and B represent the event that a customer will purchase a phone.
What is the probability that a male customer will purchase a cell phone? ______________
P(B|A2) = .20
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-08 Calculate probabilities using Bayes’ theorem.
Topic: Bayes’ Theorem
104. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that a person would select orange as their favorite color?
0.35 or 35%
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
105. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that a person would select orange or lime as their favorite color?
0.60 or 60%
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
106. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone was their favorite. The results follow:
What is an outcome of this experiment?
Any one of the colors is a correct answer
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Knowledge
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-01 Explain the terms experiment; event; and outcome.
Topic: What is probability?
107. A company’s managers evaluated their employees into three classes: excellent performance, good performance, and poor performance. The following is a frequency distribution of the results.
What is the probability that a randomly selected employee was rated excellent or good?
0.95 or 95%
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
108. In flipping a fair coin, what is the probability of either a head or a tail on one toss?
1.0 or 100%
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
109. In flipping a fair coin, what is the probability of a head and a tail on one toss?
0.00 or 0%
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
110. In flipping a fair coin, what is the probability of a head and a tail on two tosses?
0.50 or 50%
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
111. Airlines monitor the causes of flights arriving late. 75% of flights are late because of weather, 35% of flights are late because of ground operations. 10% of flights are late because of weather and ground operations. What is the joint probability that a flight arrives late because of weather and ground operations?
10% or 0.10
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
112. Airlines monitor the causes of flights arriving late. 75% of flights are late because of weather, 35% of flights are late because of ground operations. 15% of flights are late because of weather and ground operations. What is the probability that a flight arrives late because of weather or ground operations?
95% or 0.95
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Easy
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
113. In a survey of employee satisfaction, 60% of the employees are male and 45% of the employees are satisfied. What is the probability of randomly selecting an employee who is male and satisfied?
0.27
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
114. In a card deck of 52 cards, what is the probability of selecting two kings from the deck without replacement?
0.0045
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
115. In a survey of employee satisfaction, the following table summarizes the results in terms of employee satisfaction and gender.
What is the probability that an employee is Female and Dissatisfied?
0.22
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
116. In a survey of employee satisfaction, the following table summarizes the results in terms of employee satisfaction and gender.
What is the probability that an employee is Male or Dissatisfied?
0.82
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
117. In a survey of employee satisfaction, the following table summarizes the results in terms of employee satisfaction and gender.
What is the probability that an employee is Satisfied given that the employee is Male?
0.45
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
118. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability of randomly selecting a person who likes white cell phones the best?
0.075
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Topic: Rules of Addition
119. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black or orange are the favorite colors?
0.65
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
120. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that orange is the favorite color given that the person’s age is less than 21?
0.35
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
121. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black is the favorite color given that the person’s age is 21 or older?
0.50
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
122. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black is the favorite color given that the person’s age is 21 or older?
0.50
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-06 Define the term conditional probability.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
123. A company set up a kiosk in the Mall of America for several hours and asked randomly selected people which color cell phone cover was their favorite. The results follow:
What is the probability that black, lime or orange are the favorite colors given that the person’s age is 21 or older?
0.90
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-07 Compute probabilities using a contingency table.
Topic: Contingency Tables
124. Dice are used in a variety of games. A die is a six sided cube with a number of dots on each side. The number of dots ranges from one to six. If two die are used on a game, how many outcomes are possible?
36
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
125. In a study of student preference of energy drinks, the researcher has identified a population of 10 students. To get a quick result, the researcher will select a sample of 2 students. How many different samples are possible?
45
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
126. A student organization of 10 wants to select a president, a vice-president, and treasurer. How many different leadership assignments are possible?
720
AACSB: Analytic Skills
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Medium
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
Essay Questions
127. Draw a Venn diagram showing the probability for two mutually exclusive events and a Venn diagram showing the probability for two events that are not mutually exclusive. Explain the difference in the two diagrams.
The main difference is that the two areas representing probability do not overlap for mutually exclusive events and the two areas do overlap when the two events are not mutually exclusive. In summary, the joint probability is equal to 0 when the events are mutually exclusive, and the joint probability is greater than 0 but less than 1 when the events are not mutually exclusive.
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Application
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-03 Calculate probabilities using the rules of addition.
Learning Objective: 05-04 Define the term joint probability.
Topic: Rules of Addition
128. Compare and contrast the classical, empirical, and subjective approaches to assigning probabilities.
The classical method requires that all outcomes of an experiment are known and can be listed. Then, the probabilities can be computed. Examples that apply the classical approach to probability include problems involving card decks and dice. The empirical method is applied when all the experimental outcomes cannot be listed so that we need to collect data to compute probabilities. Then probabilities are computed as the frequency of the desired outcome divided by the total number of observations. The subjective approach is applied when data is not readily available and a person assigns their best guess to the probability of an outcome.
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-02 Identify and apply the appropriate approach to assigning probabilities.
Topic: Approaches to assigning probabilities
129. What is the difference between a permutation and a combination?
Both methods compute the number of possible outcomes for a given problem. When the order of the possible outcomes is important to the problem, we compute the number of permutations. When the order of the possible outcomes is not important, then we compute the number of combinations. For example, if we select outcomes A, B, and C, from the set {A, B, C, D, E, F}, the events {A, B, C} and {C, B, A} would count as one combination. However because the order is different, they count as two permutations. For a given problem there would always be more permutations than combinations.
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-09 Determine the number of outcomes using the appropriate principle of counting.
Topic: Principles of Counting
130. When are two outcomes independent? Explain in terms of the rules of probability.
Two outcomes are independent when the probability of one outcome is not affected by the probability of the second outcome. In terms of conditional probabilities, two outcomes, A and B are independent when P(A ) = P(A|B). This notation says that the probability of A given B is equal to the probability of A. In other words, the probability of A is unaffected by B.
AACSB: Reflective Thinking
Bloom’s: Comprehension
Difficulty: Hard
Learning Objective: 05-05 Calculate probabilities using the rules of multiplication.
Topic: Rules of Multiplication
Chapter 05 – A Survey of Probability Concepts
5- PAGE 90
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